Downtown Frederick is a Democratic stronghold. About 78% of voters here vote Democratic and 22% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Downtown Frederick typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downtown Frederick, ~49% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downtown Frederick compares
Downtown Frederick runs about 28 points more Democratic than Maryland as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Downtown Frederick. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+48), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Downtown Frederick leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downtown Frederick, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Downtown Frederick hold a bachelor's degree, about 29 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in Downtown Frederick have never been married, above 77% of neighborhoods.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Downtown Frederick, Frederick, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Downtown Frederick looks the way it does
Turnout in Downtown Frederick sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Darnestown, Gaithersburg, MD D+25
- Westminster Historic District, Westminster, MD R+3
- Ashburn Village, Ashburn, VA D+26
- West End Park, Rockville, MD D+55
- Ashburn Farm, Ashburn, VA D+23
- Croydon Park, Rockville, MD D+46
- Silver Rock, Rockville, MD D+46
- Hainesville, Martinsburg, WV R+29
- Sterling Park, Sterling, VA D+23
- Berkeley, Martinsburg, WV R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Rancho Fontana, Fontana, CA D+9
- Pheasant Hill, Dayton, OH D+3
- Downtown Menlo Park, Menlo Park, CA D+71
- Blanco Gardens, San Marcos, TX D+24
- Downtown North Lauderdale, North Lauderdale, FL D+51
- Ghost Town, Laredo, TX D+8
- Woodville, North Lauderdale, FL D+51
- Orchidlands Estates, Keaau, HI D+6
- West Cloverdale, Boise, ID R+14
- South Ruffner, Charleston, WV D+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.