Hakalau, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hakalau

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hakalau leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in Hakalau typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hakalau, ~44% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hakalau compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hakalau leans more Democratic than 14 of 23 neighbors.

Politically, Hakalau sits close to the rest of Hawaii.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hakalau. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+32) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Hakalau leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hakalau, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 44% of adults in Hakalau hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 31% of adults in Hakalau have never been married, above 76% of cities.

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Hakalau, HI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Hakalau looks the way it does

Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Hakalau have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.