South Canaan leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 66% of adults in South Canaan typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Canaan, ~18% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Canaan compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Canaan leans more Republican than 127 of 132 neighbors.
South Canaan runs about 45 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why South Canaan leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in South Canaan. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; South Canaan, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in South Canaan looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in South Canaan have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Whites Crossing, PA R+42
- Waymart, PA R+42
- Cortez, PA R+36
- Prompton, PA R+41
- Pink, PA R+43
- Childs, PA R+18
- Carbondale, PA R+12
- Marshwood, PA R+31
- Lake Ariel, PA R+36
- Mayfield, PA R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shepard, SC R+26
- Williamsburg, MS R+58
- Corinne, WV R+68
- Horn Hill, AL R+89
- Mineral Springs, OH R+67
- Nicholsville, OH R+59
- Lamine, MO R+65
- Huxford, AL R+83
- Trilla, IL R+60
- Buffalo, KS R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.