Juneau City and Borough leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 69% of adults in Juneau City and Borough typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Juneau City and Borough, ~42% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Juneau City and Borough compares
Juneau City and Borough runs about 35 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Juneau City and Borough is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Juneau City and Borough. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+52) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Juneau City and Borough leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Juneau City and Borough, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 40% of adults in Juneau City and Borough hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Juneau City and Borough have never been married, above 80% of counties. Juneau City and Borough runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Juneau City and Borough, AK sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Juneau City and Borough looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 95% of adults in Juneau City and Borough have completed high school, about 6 points above the Alaska average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Hoonah-Angoon Census Area, AK Even
- Haines Borough, AK R+17
- Skagway Municipality, AK R+23
- Sitka City and Borough, AK D+13
- Petersburg Census Area, AK R+4
- Wrangell City and Borough, AK R+8
- Yakutat City and Borough, AK Even
- Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area, AK R+18
- Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK R+3
- Southeast Fairbanks Census Area, AK R+39
Counties with Similar Populations
- Jefferson Davis Parish, LA R+60
- Chester County, SC R+16
- Henry County, TN R+55
- Lyon County, KS R+14
- Evangeline Parish, LA R+39
- Franklin County, AL R+63
- Claiborne County, TN R+70
- Hale County, TX R+44
- Dorchester County, MD R+9
- Logan County, WV R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.