Hand Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Hand Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hand Valley, ~11% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hand Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hand Valley leans more Republican than 32 of 57 neighbors.
Hand Valley runs about 33 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Hand Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hand Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hand Valley, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hand Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 80% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hand Valley, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hand Valley looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 87% of adults in Hand Valley have completed high school, below 74% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Buffalo City, AR R+63
- Rea Valley, AR R+63
- Gassville, AR R+62
- Cotter, AR R+58
- Flippin, AR R+60
- Norfork, AR R+59
- Ralph, AR R+63
- Mountain Home, AR R+47
- Summit, AR R+61
- Briarcliff, AR R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kipps, NY R+19
- Reamstown, PA R+40
- Westport, TN R+70
- Kyger, OH R+61
- Clopton, AL R+38
- Mountain Lake, PA R+63
- Tallulah Falls, GA R+63
- Perrytown, NC R+19
- Scarboro, MD R+2
- Vandyke, VA R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.