Hardin County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Hardin County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hardin County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hardin County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hardin County leans more Republican than 6 of 7 neighbors.
Hardin County runs about 54 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hardin County. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+88) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Hardin County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hardin County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Hardin County drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 73% of households in Hardin County are family households, above 90% of counties.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hardin County, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hardin County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 84% of households in Hardin County own their home, about 9 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Jefferson County, TX D+8
- Orange County, TX R+59
- Tyler County, TX R+70
- Jasper County, TX R+54
- Newton County, TX R+61
- Liberty County, TX R+50
- Chambers County, TX R+58
- Polk County, TX R+50
- San Jacinto County, TX R+57
- Calcasieu Parish, LA R+29
Counties with Similar Populations
- Cherokee County, SC R+42
- Marion County, WV R+37
- Pearl River County, MS R+60
- Carter County, TN R+61
- Taney County, MO R+50
- Chisago County, MN R+29
- Lafayette County, MS R+16
- Hawkins County, TN R+66
- Eagle County, CO D+14
- Campbell County, VA R+37
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.