Hawkins County is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Hawkins County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawkins County, ~12% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawkins County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Hawkins County leans more Republican than 16 of 21 neighbors.
Hawkins County runs about 36 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Hawkins County. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Hawkins County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawkins County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hawkins County, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 6 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hawkins County, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hawkins County looks the way it does
Turnout in Hawkins County sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Greene County, TN R+62
- Hancock County, TN R+77
- Lee County, VA R+64
- Scott County, VA R+70
- Washington County, TN R+37
- Sullivan County, TN R+50
- Hamblen County, TN R+51
- Harlan County, KY R+72
- Unicoi County, TN R+57
- Norton City, VA R+39
Counties with Similar Populations
- Waller County, TX R+20
- Chisago County, MN R+29
- Carter County, TN R+61
- Scott County, KY R+29
- Hardin County, TX R+68
- Cherokee County, SC R+42
- Colbert County, AL R+46
- Marion County, WV R+37
- Iron County, UT R+53
- Pearl River County, MS R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.