Hardinsburg is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Hardinsburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hardinsburg, ~18% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hardinsburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hardinsburg leans more Republican than 16 of 91 neighbors.
Hardinsburg runs about 21 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hardinsburg. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Hardinsburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hardinsburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Hardinsburg drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Hardinsburg, KY sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Hardinsburg looks the way it does
Turnout in Hardinsburg sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harned, KY R+60
- Kirk, KY R+62
- Kingswood, KY R+63
- Mystic, KY R+62
- Mattingly, KY R+60
- Axtel, KY R+63
- Locust Hill, KY R+66
- Tar Fork, KY R+60
- Woodrow, KY R+64
- Garfield, KY R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bicknell, IN R+53
- Elsberry, MO R+53
- Presidio, TX D+4
- Dayton, OR R+25
- Mohegan Lake, NY Even
- Gillespie, IL R+39
- Afton, OK R+60
- Spencer, WI R+41
- Independence, MN R+14
- Wiscasset, ME Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.