Hartfield leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Hartfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartfield, ~21% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hartfield leans more Republican than 38 of 77 neighbors.
Hartfield runs about 51 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hartfield is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hartfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hartfield votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Hartfield runs about 51 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Hartfield drive to work alone, above 86% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Hartfield are family households, above 96% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Hartfield, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hartfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hartfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 57% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dewittville, NY R+21
- Mayville, NY R+11
- West Portland, NY R+29
- Stockton, NY R+35
- Chautauqua, NY Even
- Portland, NY R+27
- Westfield, NY R+25
- Maple Springs, NY R+30
- Volusia, NY R+27
- Brocton, NY R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Northeim, WI R+38
- Oakhaven, AR R+39
- Fenton, LA R+67
- Alma, NY R+48
- Star Mills, KY R+56
- Clarkston Heights, WA R+30
- Stony Prairie, OH R+44
- West Grove, IA R+61
- Manning, NY R+44
- Laketown, UT R+57
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.