Hartford is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Hartford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hartford, ~15% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hartford leans more Republican than 21 of 107 neighbors.
Hartford runs about 28 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hartford. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Hartford, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Hartford runs against that pattern.
Developed land and Democratic lean
Places with a heavily developed built environment tend to lean Democratic; Hartford, KY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Hartford looks the way it does
Turnout in Hartford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- No Creek, KY R+66
- Taffy, KY R+68
- Sunnydale, KY R+70
- Heflin, KY R+67
- Horton, KY R+62
- McHenry, KY R+61
- Beaver Dam, KY R+56
- Buford, KY R+66
- Centertown, KY R+69
- Simmons, KY R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Camden, ME D+48
- Watervliet, MI R+24
- Placitas, NM D+34
- Mansfield, PA R+33
- Halifax, VA R+13
- Summerton, SC R+2
- Vienna, IN R+58
- Caruthers, CA R+23
- New Lisbon, WI R+29
- Middletown, RI D+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.