Hat Creek leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Hat Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hat Creek, ~20% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hat Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hat Creek leans more Republican than 9 of 15 neighbors.
Hat Creek runs about 64 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hat Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hat Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hat Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hat Creek votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Hat Creek runs about 64 points more Republican. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Hat Creek is about 96%, well above similar-sized cities (around 80%).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hat Creek, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hat Creek looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Hat Creek own their home, about 31 points above the California average of 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cassel, CA R+43
- Johnson Park, CA R+43
- Burney, CA R+41
- Old Station, CA R+44
- Fall River Mills, CA R+44
- Cayton, CA R+44
- Little Valley, CA R+53
- Pittville, CA R+45
- Glenburn, CA R+42
- Dana, CA R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gaines, MO R+66
- Goss, GA R+7
- Slaughter Beach, DE R+17
- Cowan, KY R+66
- Milledgeville, PA R+60
- Kearsarge, PA Even
- Vattmannville, TX R+33
- Kerrs Creek, VA R+14
- West Hallock, IL R+34
- Cedar Springs, GA R+17
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.