Hathaway Pines leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Hathaway Pines typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hathaway Pines, ~37% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hathaway Pines compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hathaway Pines leans more Republican than 9 of 41 neighbors.
Hathaway Pines runs about 30 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Hathaway Pines is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hathaway Pines. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Hathaway Pines leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hathaway Pines, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hathaway Pines votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Hathaway Pines runs about 30 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Hathaway Pines are family households, above 76% of cities.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hathaway Pines, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Hathaway Pines looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hathaway Pines is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Avery, CA R+8
- Murphys, CA R+7
- White Pines, CA R+18
- Sheep Ranch, CA R+18
- Arnold, CA D+9
- Douglas Flat, CA R+9
- Dorrington, CA D+14
- Vallecito, CA R+15
- Mountain Ranch, CA R+18
- Columbia, CA R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moselem Springs, PA R+39
- Fairview, ND R+77
- Hunnewell, MO R+67
- Rogers Mill, PA R+63
- Beaver Island, MI D+13
- Vollmar, CO R+43
- Miracle, KY R+79
- Stockwell, IN R+49
- Hoxeyville, MI R+42
- Hyannis Port, MA D+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.