Hickory Grove, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Hickory Grove

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Hickory Grove is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.

 

About 92% of adults in Hickory Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Grove, ~47% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Hickory Grove compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Grove sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 43 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 77 leaning the other way.

Politically, Hickory Grove sits close to the rest of Virginia.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hickory Grove. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 38 points.

Why Hickory Grove leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hickory Grove. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Hickory Grove, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Hickory Grove looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hickory Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Hickory Grove own their home, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Hickory Grove have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.