Catharpin is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Catharpin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catharpin, ~44% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Catharpin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Catharpin leans more Democratic than 43 of 123 neighbors.
Politically, Catharpin sits close to the rest of Virginia.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Catharpin. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+24), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Catharpin leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Catharpin. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Catharpin, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Catharpin looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Catharpin is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 98% of households in Catharpin own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hickory Grove, VA D+2
- Stone Ridge, VA D+23
- South Riding, VA D+20
- Aldie, VA D+12
- Arcola, VA D+23
- Haymarket, VA Even
- Lenah, VA D+10
- Brambleton, VA D+22
- Chantilly, VA D+21
- Gainesville, VA D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Saltville, VA R+62
- Dundee, OR R+12
- Spindale, NC R+25
- Christiana, PA R+54
- Clifton, AZ R+36
- Reddick, FL R+24
- East Wareham, MA R+4
- West Reading, PA D+21
- Center Point, TX R+57
- Menands, NY D+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.