Henrico leans heavily Democratic by roughly 48 points: about 74% of voters vote Democratic and 26% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Henrico typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Henrico, ~60% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Henrico compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Henrico leans more Democratic than 77 of 82 neighbors.
Henrico runs about 42 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Henrico. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+74) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 84 points.
Why Henrico leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Henrico, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Henrico is about 31%, about 42 points below the U.S. average of 72%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Henrico sits in the top quarter (about 31%, above 76% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Henrico have never been married, above 92% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Henrico, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Henrico looks the way it does
Turnout in Henrico sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Montrose, VA D+68
- Montrose Heights, VA D+52
- Richmond, VA D+19
- Bensley, VA D+22
- East Highland Park, VA D+69
- Meadowbrook, VA D+45
- Manchester, VA D+29
- Highland Springs, VA D+57
- Varina, VA D+13
- Bellwood, VA D+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Strawberry Point, IA R+42
- Thomasboro, IL R+38
- Freetown, IN R+60
- Princes Lakes, IN R+52
- Prospect, VA R+4
- Wallingford, KY R+67
- Silverado, CA R+8
- Pomeroy, WA R+57
- Poag, IL D+4
- Boulder, MT R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.