Montrose is a Democratic stronghold. About 84% of voters here vote Democratic and 16% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Montrose typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Montrose, ~54% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Montrose compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Montrose leans more Democratic than 79 of 80 neighbors.
Montrose runs about 63 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Montrose. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+54), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Montrose leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Montrose, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 81% of residents in Montrose live in densely developed areas, about 45 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Montrose have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Montrose, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Montrose looks the way it does
Turnout in Montrose sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Montrose Heights, VA D+52
- Henrico, VA D+48
- Highland Springs, VA D+57
- East Highland Park, VA D+69
- Sandston, VA Even
- Richmond, VA D+19
- Bensley, VA D+22
- Varina, VA D+13
- Meadowbrook, VA D+45
- Chamberlayne, VA D+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Freedom, PA R+25
- Stoneville, NC R+53
- Southgate, FL R+6
- Chester, IL R+38
- Port Jefferson, NY D+11
- Rutledge, TN R+71
- Boxford, MA D+16
- Hertford, NC R+33
- Springs, NY D+20
- Weiser, ID R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.