Hickory Flat is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Hickory Flat typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hickory Flat, ~13% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hickory Flat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hickory Flat leans more Republican than 45 of 73 neighbors.
Hickory Flat runs about 69 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hickory Flat is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hickory Flat. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+51), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Hickory Flat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hickory Flat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hickory Flat votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Hickory Flat runs about 69 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Hickory Flat drive to work alone, above 87% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Hickory Flat are family households, above 79% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hickory Flat, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hickory Flat looks the way it does
Turnout in Hickory Flat sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hebron, VA R+63
- Stevens Creek, VA R+62
- Fries, VA R+64
- Oldtown, VA R+61
- Galax, VA R+50
- Woodlawn, VA R+63
- Pipers Gap, VA R+63
- West Galax, VA R+63
- Sheep Town, VA R+69
- Ivanhoe, VA R+69
Cities with Similar Populations
- Garards Fort, PA R+52
- Galt, IA R+51
- Shiloh, TN R+78
- Pungoteague, VA R+17
- Gidsville, VA R+51
- Little Marais, MN R+4
- Oden, MI R+27
- Lime Creek, MN R+55
- Gibson, IA R+53
- Webber, KS R+75
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.