Holly Lake Ranch is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Holly Lake Ranch typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holly Lake Ranch, ~17% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holly Lake Ranch compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holly Lake Ranch leans more Republican than 7 of 51 neighbors.
Holly Lake Ranch runs about 44 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Holly Lake Ranch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holly Lake Ranch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Holly Lake Ranch drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Holly Lake Ranch fits that profile on both counts. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Holly Lake Ranch are family households, above 89% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Holly Lake Ranch, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Holly Lake Ranch looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Holly Lake Ranch is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 64% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Holly Lake Ranch own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rhonesboro, TX R+71
- Hawkins, TX R+57
- Pine Mills, TX R+66
- Big Sandy, TX R+69
- Little Hope, TX R+73
- Latch, TX R+76
- Fouke, TX R+71
- Grice, TX R+76
- Rosewood, TX R+77
- Hainesville, TX R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sidon, AR R+71
- Zimco, AL R+5
- Taycheedah, WI R+31
- Valley Fork, WV R+61
- South Bradford, NY R+43
- Salem Crossroads, SC D+38
- Florence, PA R+47
- La Place, IL R+49
- Mark, IA R+62
- Willey, IA R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.