Hainesville is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Hainesville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hainesville, ~11% vote Democratic, ~68% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hainesville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hainesville leans more Republican than 24 of 52 neighbors.
Hainesville runs about 59 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Hainesville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Hainesville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Hainesville, TX sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Hainesville looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Hainesville own their home, about 18 points above the Texas average of 75%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Hainesville sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pine Mills, TX R+66
- Golden, TX R+76
- Hoard, TX R+76
- Little Hope, TX R+73
- East Point, TX R+77
- Fouke, TX R+71
- Quitman, TX R+70
- Holly Lake Ranch, TX R+58
- Hawkins, TX R+57
- Mineola, TX R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lone Star, LA R+61
- White Church, MO R+69
- Cordova, NC R+42
- Irving, IL R+63
- Riverside, SD R+59
- Ivanhoe, TX R+78
- Miles, IA R+48
- Stacyville, IA R+47
- Lemitar, NM R+19
- Groom, TX R+85
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.