Holmes Mill is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Holmes Mill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holmes Mill, ~5% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holmes Mill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Holmes Mill leans more Republican than 107 of 118 neighbors.
Holmes Mill runs about 49 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Holmes Mill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holmes Mill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Holmes Mill live in densely developed areas, about 15 points below the Kentucky average of 18%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Holmes Mill fits that profile on both counts.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Holmes Mill, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Holmes Mill looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 30% of households in Holmes Mill rent, above 84% of cities. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Holmes Mill sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rutherford, KY R+77
- Shepherd Hill, VA R+69
- Keokee, VA R+68
- Closplint, KY R+79
- Maness, VA R+67
- Black Bottom, KY R+79
- Hiram, KY R+78
- St. Charles, VA R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glen Savage, PA R+71
- Gleason, PA R+66
- Poplar Grove, PA R+51
- Pointe Aux Barques, MI R+26
- Reevesville, IL R+60
- Kellum, AR R+68
- Oscar, KY R+61
- Wetipquin, MD R+26
- Harrisburg, AL R+31
- Bucktown, MD R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.