Hope is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Hope typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hope, ~5% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hope leans more Republican than 6 of 7 neighbors.
Hope runs about 80 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hope is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Hope leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hope, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hope votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hope runs about 80 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Hope sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 94% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Hope are family households, above 94% of cities.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Hope, NM does.
Why turnout in Hope looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hope is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Hope have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Artesia, NM R+56
- Atoka, NM R+68
- Lake Arthur, NM R+66
- Riverside, NM R+67
- Seven Rivers, NM R+75
- Lakewood, NM R+72
- Hagerman, NM R+56
- Dexter, NM R+48
- Greenfield, NM R+54
- West Carlsbad, NM R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Hope, TX R+48
- Manzanita, OR D+26
- Rankin, IL R+59
- Fairfield Center, IN R+59
- Linwood, NY R+34
- Hickory Withe, TN R+46
- Saginaw, WA R+19
- Teegarden, IN R+54
- Piney Point, MD R+23
- Ofelia, AL R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.