New Hope leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 73% of adults in New Hope typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hope, ~19% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hope compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hope leans more Republican than 40 of 74 neighbors.
New Hope runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hope. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+58) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 32 points.
Why New Hope leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in New Hope. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hope, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in New Hope looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. New Hope is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lowry Crossing, TX R+21
- Princeton, TX R+20
- Melissa, TX R+24
- Fairview, TX R+21
- Verona, TX R+68
- McKinney, TX R+6
- Lucas, TX R+34
- Allen, TX R+5
- Anna, TX R+27
- Kelly, TX R+45
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hickory Withe, TN R+46
- Lanier, GA R+56
- New Munster, WI R+34
- Ofelia, AL R+64
- Hope, NM R+74
- Manzanita, OR D+26
- Teegarden, IN R+54
- Fairfield Center, IN R+59
- Linwood, NY R+34
- Hardwick, MA R+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.