Hope Valley leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 82% of adults in Hope Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hope Valley, ~35% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hope Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hope Valley leans more Republican than 39 of 49 neighbors.
Hope Valley runs about 28 points more Republican than Rhode Island as a whole. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while Hope Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hope Valley. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+18) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Hope Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hope Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hope Valley votes against the grain of Rhode Island. Rhode Island leans Democratic overall, while Hope Valley runs about 28 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Hope Valley, RI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Hope Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hope Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wyoming, RI R+5
- Rockville, RI R+12
- Hopkinton, RI R+12
- Richmond, RI R+8
- Carolina, RI R+9
- Wood River Junction, RI R+11
- Ashaway, RI R+11
- West Kingston, RI D+3
- Slocum, RI Even
- Kenyon, RI R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lyncourt, NY D+8
- Morgans Point Resort, TX R+45
- Jefferson, IA R+28
- Wirtz, VA R+52
- California, PA R+3
- Elmendorf Afb, AK D+2
- Jefferson, MA D+10
- Northwest Harbor, NY D+23
- Jaffrey, NH R+3
- Reedsville, PA R+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.