Jaffrey is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican. These figures are model estimates: New Hampshire did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 82% of adults in Jaffrey typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jaffrey, ~40% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jaffrey compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jaffrey sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 39 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 61 leaning the other way.
Jaffrey runs about 6 points more Republican than New Hampshire as a whole.
Why Jaffrey leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Jaffrey. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Jaffrey, NH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Jaffrey looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Jaffrey is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Jaffrey have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Noone, NH D+22
- Squantum, NH R+4
- West Rindge, NH R+7
- Rindge, NH R+9
- Dublin, NH D+7
- Sharon, NH Even
- Peterborough, NH D+29
- East Rindge, NH R+14
- Fitzwilliam, NH Even
- Troy, NH R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- Northwest Harbor, NY D+23
- Reedsville, PA R+60
- Benton, TN R+71
- Pearcy, AR R+57
- Hope Valley, RI R+15
- Morgans Point Resort, TX R+45
- Lyncourt, NY D+8
- Mascot, TN R+59
- Akron, PA R+22
- Jermyn, PA R+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Hampshire Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. NH did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.