Northwest Harbor leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Northwest Harbor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northwest Harbor, ~45% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northwest Harbor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northwest Harbor leans more Democratic than 26 of 36 neighbors.
Northwest Harbor runs about 11 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Northwest Harbor. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Northwest Harbor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northwest Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in Northwest Harbor hold a bachelor's degree, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Northwest Harbor sits in the top fifth on density (about 37%, above 83% of cities).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Northwest Harbor, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Northwest Harbor looks the way it does
Turnout in Northwest Harbor sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Hampton North, NY D+14
- East Hampton, NY D+37
- Springs, NY D+20
- Wainscott, NY D+20
- Sag Harbor, NY D+24
- Amagansett, NY D+8
- Sagaponack, NY D+30
- North Haven, NY D+31
- Bridgehampton, NY D+26
- Noyack, NY D+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jaffrey, NH R+3
- Reedsville, PA R+60
- Benton, TN R+71
- Akron, PA R+22
- Pearcy, AR R+57
- Mascot, TN R+59
- Hope Valley, RI R+15
- Lyncourt, NY D+8
- Morgans Point Resort, TX R+45
- Jermyn, PA R+13
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.