Hopewell leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Hopewell typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hopewell, ~22% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hopewell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hopewell leans more Republican than 66 of 86 neighbors.
Hopewell runs about 46 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Hopewell is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hopewell. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+26), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Hopewell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hopewell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hopewell votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Hopewell runs about 46 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Hopewell, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Hopewell looks the way it does
Turnout in Hopewell sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Unionvale, OR R+33
- Wheatland, OR R+39
- Fairfield, OR R+28
- Waconda, OR R+42
- Amity, OR R+28
- Eola Village, OR R+24
- Keizer, OR D+2
- Labish Village, OR R+41
- Whiteson, OR R+32
- McCoy, OR R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yellowpine, TX R+55
- Eva, OK R+87
- Wayside, KS R+75
- Padonia, KS R+44
- Five Corners, CA R+43
- Howland, TX R+77
- Kilmore, IN R+55
- Melville, MT R+64
- Rosenburg, NE R+82
- Bearcreek, MT R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.