Horn Lake, MS Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Horn Lake

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Horn Lake leans Democratic by roughly 22 points: about 61% of voters vote Democratic and 39% Republican.

 

About 53% of adults in Horn Lake typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Horn Lake, ~32% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Horn Lake compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Horn Lake leans more Democratic than 45 of 56 neighbors.

Horn Lake runs about 44 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Horn Lake is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Horn Lake. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+52) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 52 points.

Why Horn Lake leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Horn Lake, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 72% of residents in Horn Lake live in densely developed areas, about 36 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Horn Lake have never been married, above 93% of cities. Horn Lake runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Horn Lake, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Horn Lake looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Horn Lake is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 9%, about 51 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 39% of households in Horn Lake rent, compared to around 15% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 28% of adults in Horn Lake report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.