North Hornell leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 75% of adults in North Hornell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Hornell, ~22% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Hornell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Hornell leans more Republican than 19 of 89 neighbors.
North Hornell runs about 52 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Hornell is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why North Hornell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Hornell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Hornell votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Hornell runs about 52 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; North Hornell, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in North Hornell looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in North Hornell have completed high school, about 6 points above the New York average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hornell, NY R+27
- South Hornell, NY R+42
- Arkport, NY R+50
- Bishopville, NY R+49
- Almond, NY R+31
- Canisteo, NY R+46
- Burns, NY R+55
- Haskinville, NY R+53
- Beachville, NY R+55
- Howard, NY R+52
Cities with Similar Populations
- Butterfield, MO R+68
- Churchtown, PA R+63
- Lawrence, TX R+12
- Wentworth, TX R+79
- Fallston, NC R+55
- Embarrass, MN R+19
- Kosse, TX R+74
- Oliver, AL R+70
- Sierra View, PA R+15
- Pulaski, MO R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.