Jewell Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Jewell Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jewell Valley, ~11% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jewell Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Jewell Valley leans more Republican than 113 of 146 neighbors.
Jewell Valley runs about 77 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Jewell Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Jewell Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jewell Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Jewell Valley, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 11% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Jewell Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 77% of cities). Jewell Valley runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Jewell Valley, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Jewell Valley looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Jewell Valley sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jewell Ridge, VA R+72
- Whitewood, VA R+72
- Pilgrims Knob, VA R+71
- Jolo, WV R+75
- Warriormine, WV R+71
- Red Ash, VA R+67
- Seaboard, VA R+68
- Bradshaw, WV R+76
- Raysal, WV R+75
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poplar Plains, KY R+61
- Slacks, LA D+11
- Allendorf, IA R+65
- Rutland Center, NY R+36
- Leda, VA R+7
- Julian, NE R+55
- Bloomingville, OH R+40
- Shaw Island, WA D+53
- Boissevain, VA R+62
- Robinson, AR R+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.