Joshua Tree is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Joshua Tree typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Joshua Tree, ~32% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Joshua Tree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Joshua Tree leans more Democratic than 10 of 16 neighbors.
Joshua Tree runs about 16 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Joshua Tree. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+12) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+14), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Joshua Tree leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Joshua Tree. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Joshua Tree, CA does.
Why turnout in Joshua Tree looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 33% of households in Joshua Tree rent, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Joshua Tree have more than one occupant per room, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sunfair, CA R+7
- Yucca Valley, CA R+22
- Homestead Valley, CA R+15
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Twentynine Palms, CA R+24
- Landers, CA R+22
- Morongo Valley, CA R+18
- Rimrock, CA D+5
- Desert Hot Springs, CA D+13
- Sky Valley, CA R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wilmington Manor, DE D+31
- Tuba City, AZ D+41
- Cumberland Hill, RI Even
- West Livingston, TX R+31
- Bellville, TX R+55
- North Chili, NY Even
- Iuka, MS R+73
- Farmingdale, NJ R+24
- Mount Vernon, KY R+69
- Great Mills, MD D+16
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.