Sunfair leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Sunfair typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sunfair, ~25% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sunfair compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sunfair leans more Republican than 9 of 15 neighbors.
Sunfair runs about 27 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Sunfair is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sunfair. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Sunfair leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sunfair, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Sunfair live in densely developed areas, about 54 points below the California average of 58%. Sunfair runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Sunfair, CA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Sunfair looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 11% of homes in Sunfair have more than one occupant per room, above 97% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Joshua Tree, CA D+4
- Twentynine Palms, CA R+24
- Yucca Valley, CA R+22
- Twentynine Palms Marine Corps Base, CA R+18
- Homestead Valley, CA R+15
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Landers, CA R+22
- Sky Valley, CA R+5
- Desert Edge, CA R+2
- Desert Hot Springs, CA D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Farelly Lake, AR R+15
- Strool, SD R+75
- New Baltimore, NY R+9
- McNary, TX R+24
- Tenney, MN R+53
- Napili, HI D+12
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.