Yucca Valley leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Yucca Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Yucca Valley, ~23% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Yucca Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Yucca Valley leans more Republican than 21 of 22 neighbors.
Yucca Valley runs about 42 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Yucca Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Yucca Valley. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Yucca Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Yucca Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Yucca Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, modestly below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Yucca Valley runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Yucca Valley, CA does.
Why turnout in Yucca Valley looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 34% of households in Yucca Valley rent, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Joshua Tree, CA D+4
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Homestead Valley, CA R+15
- Morongo Valley, CA R+18
- Rimrock, CA D+5
- Sunfair, CA R+7
- Desert Hot Springs, CA D+13
- Desert Edge, CA R+2
- Garnet, CA D+20
- Sky Valley, CA R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fish Hawk, FL R+24
- Dedham, MA D+27
- Taylorsville, NC R+54
- Hopewell Junction, NY R+17
- Dickson, TN R+51
- Parlin, NJ Even
- Farmington, MO R+41
- Ronkonkoma, NY R+26
- Radcliff, KY R+10
- Ponte Vedra, FL R+26
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.