Homestead Valley leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Homestead Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Homestead Valley, ~24% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Homestead Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Homestead Valley leans more Republican than 9 of 16 neighbors.
Homestead Valley runs about 35 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Homestead Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Homestead Valley. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+22) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Homestead Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Homestead Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Homestead Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Homestead Valley runs about 35 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Homestead Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 95% of cities).
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Homestead Valley, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Homestead Valley looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 26% of adults in Homestead Valley report food insecurity, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Landers, CA R+22
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Yucca Valley, CA R+22
- Joshua Tree, CA D+4
- Rimrock, CA D+5
- Sunfair, CA R+7
- Morongo Valley, CA R+18
- Twentynine Palms, CA R+24
- Desert Hot Springs, CA D+13
- Big Bear, CA R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vinton, OH R+62
- Maurertown, VA R+53
- Bremen, AL R+85
- Combine, TX R+66
- Remsen, NY R+42
- Sadieville, KY R+57
- Edgerton, KS R+31
- Larsen, WI R+34
- Winters, TX R+56
- Republic, WA R+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.