Twentynine Palms leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 29% of adults in Twentynine Palms typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Twentynine Palms, ~11% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~71% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Twentynine Palms compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Twentynine Palms is the most Republican-leaning.
Twentynine Palms runs about 45 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Twentynine Palms is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Twentynine Palms. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 45 points.
Why Twentynine Palms leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Twentynine Palms, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Twentynine Palms votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Twentynine Palms runs about 45 points more Republican.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Twentynine Palms, CA does.
Why turnout in Twentynine Palms looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 67% of households in Twentynine Palms rent, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Twentynine Palms report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Twentynine Palms Marine Corps Base, CA R+18
- Sunfair, CA R+7
- Joshua Tree, CA D+4
- Yucca Valley, CA R+22
- Homestead Valley, CA R+15
- Landers, CA R+22
- Pioneertown, CA R+5
- Sky Valley, CA R+5
- Desert Edge, CA R+2
- Desert Hot Springs, CA D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Martinez, GA R+27
- Harvey, LA D+32
- Pewaukee, WI R+13
- McMinnville, TN R+60
- Davison, MI R+14
- East Palo Alto, CA D+49
- Dinuba, CA Even
- Riverside, NJ D+7
- Lake Jackson, TX R+36
- Nutley, NJ R+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.