Juneau leans Democratic by roughly 16 points: about 58% of voters vote Democratic and 42% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 69% of adults in Juneau typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Juneau, ~40% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Juneau compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Juneau leans more Democratic than 2 of 5 neighbors.
Juneau runs about 30 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Juneau is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Juneau. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+46) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+8), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Juneau leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Juneau, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 36% of adults in Juneau hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Juneau have never been married, above 85% of cities. Juneau runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a low adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Juneau, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Juneau looks the way it does
Turnout in Juneau sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Auke Bay, AK D+14
- West Juneau, AK D+39
- Tee Harbor, AK D+12
- Douglas, AK D+54
- Thane, AK D+37
- Hoonah, AK D+10
- Gustavus, AK R+18
- Tenakee Springs, AK D+13
- Elfin Cove, AK Even
- Angoon, AK D+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Roselle, NJ D+58
- Elgin, TX R+10
- Minneola, FL R+18
- Stanwood, WA R+16
- Short Pump, VA D+14
- Stoneham, MA D+23
- French Valley, CA R+17
- Laurinburg, NC D+12
- Prairie Village, KS D+31
- Alvarado, TX R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.