Auke Bay leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 83% of adults in Auke Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Auke Bay, ~47% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Auke Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Auke Bay leans more Democratic than 1 of 5 neighbors.
Auke Bay runs about 27 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Auke Bay is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Auke Bay. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+17) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Auke Bay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Auke Bay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 63% of adults in Auke Bay hold a bachelor's degree, about 35 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Auke Bay runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Auke Bay, AK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Auke Bay looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Auke Bay is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Auke Bay have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tee Harbor, AK D+12
- Juneau, AK D+17
- West Juneau, AK D+39
- Douglas, AK D+54
- Thane, AK D+37
- Hoonah, AK D+10
- Gustavus, AK R+18
- Tenakee Springs, AK D+13
- Elfin Cove, AK Even
- Sunnyside, AK R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jamestown, IN R+51
- Amagansett, NY D+8
- Beechgrove, TN R+68
- Corydon, KY R+54
- Housatonic, MA D+32
- Waurika, OK R+66
- Ravenna, NE R+61
- Burlington, MI R+47
- Kentland, IN R+44
- Mound Bayou, MS D+80
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.