Elfin Cove is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 63% of adults in Elfin Cove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elfin Cove, ~32% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elfin Cove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elfin Cove sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 3 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Elfin Cove runs about 15 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Elfin Cove sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elfin Cove. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+10) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+18), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Elfin Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elfin Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elfin Cove votes against the grain of Alaska. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Elfin Cove runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Elfin Cove, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elfin Cove looks the way it does
Turnout in Elfin Cove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gustavus, AK R+18
- Sunnyside, AK R+16
- Hoonah, AK D+10
- Tenakee Springs, AK D+13
- Tee Harbor, AK D+12
- Auke Bay, AK D+14
- Juneau, AK D+17
- West Juneau, AK D+39
- Douglas, AK D+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wren, AL R+77
- Waterview, KY R+72
- Oxbow, ME R+45
- Brookston, PA R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.