Short Pump, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Short Pump

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Short Pump leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.

 

About 88% of adults in Short Pump typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Short Pump, ~50% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Short Pump compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Short Pump leans more Democratic than 68 of 84 neighbors.

Short Pump runs about 9 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Short Pump. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+21) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Short Pump leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Short Pump, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 75% of adults in Short Pump hold a bachelor's degree, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Short Pump sits in the top fifth on density (about 88%, above 96% of cities).

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Short Pump, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Short Pump looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Short Pump is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Short Pump have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.