Juniata County is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Juniata County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Juniata County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Juniata County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Juniata County is the most Republican-leaning.
Juniata County runs about 60 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Juniata County. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+57), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Juniata County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Juniata County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Juniata County, about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 71% of households in Juniata County are family households, above 82% of counties.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Juniata County, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Juniata County looks the way it does
Turnout in Juniata County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Perry County, PA R+52
- Mifflin County, PA R+58
- Snyder County, PA R+50
- Cumberland County, PA R+9
- Centre County, PA D+8
- Dauphin County, PA D+12
- Union County, PA R+26
- Huntingdon County, PA R+46
- Northumberland County, PA R+39
- Clinton County, PA R+46
Counties with Similar Populations
- Washington County, MO R+63
- Plaquemines Parish, LA R+27
- Menominee County, MI R+30
- Grainger County, TN R+71
- Winston County, AL R+82
- Seminole County, OK R+51
- Roscommon County, MI R+26
- Mingo County, WV R+71
- Curry County, OR R+11
- Antrim County, MI R+21
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.