Kenedy County, TX Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Kenedy County

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Kenedy County leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.

 

About 54% of adults in Kenedy County typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kenedy County, ~15% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Kenedy County compares

Among counties within 50 miles, Kenedy County is the most Republican-leaning.

Kenedy County runs about 30 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.

Why Kenedy County leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kenedy County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Kenedy County live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the Texas average of 35%.

Population density and Republican lean

Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kenedy County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Kenedy County looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kenedy County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 32%, about 22 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 47% of households in Kenedy County rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 53% of adults in Kenedy County have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.