Keough Hot Springs leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Keough Hot Springs typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keough Hot Springs, ~26% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Keough Hot Springs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Keough Hot Springs leans more Republican than 6 of 8 neighbors.
Keough Hot Springs runs about 31 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Keough Hot Springs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Keough Hot Springs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keough Hot Springs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in Keough Hot Springs live in densely developed areas, about 57 points below the California average of 58%. Keough Hot Springs runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Keough Hot Springs, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Keough Hot Springs looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 4% of homes in Keough Hot Springs have more than one occupant per room, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bishop, CA Even
- Laws, CA R+22
- Big Pine, CA R+12
- Mesa, CA R+6
- Round Valley, CA D+8
- Crestview, CA R+4
- Toms Place, CA R+2
- Benton, CA D+5
- Independence, CA R+18
- Dyer, NV R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mill Creek, OK R+73
- North Greenfield, OH R+65
- Rock Creek, KS R+49
- Fosters Corner, ME R+24
- Sessums, MS D+14
- Mount Vernon, MD R+28
- Mangohick, VA R+32
- River Hill, TN R+70
- Turon, KS R+64
- Huntsboro, NC R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.