Keymar leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Keymar typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Keymar, ~22% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Keymar compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Keymar leans more Republican than 71 of 102 neighbors.
Keymar runs about 70 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Keymar is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Keymar. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 26 points.
Why Keymar leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Keymar, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Keymar votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Keymar runs about 70 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Keymar are family households, above 82% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Keymar, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Keymar looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Keymar is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 62% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Johnsville, MD R+45
- Rocky Ridge, MD R+49
- Woodsboro, MD R+26
- Union Bridge, MD R+39
- Middleburg, MD R+44
- Motters, MD R+55
- Graceham, MD R+33
- Taneytown, MD R+35
- Utica, MD R+46
- Thurmont, MD R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gallatin, MO R+59
- Kersey, PA R+48
- Diamond, IL R+33
- Keavy, KY R+65
- Stevenson, WA D+2
- Rosedale, IN R+54
- Hypoluxo, FL R+5
- Wilberforce, OH D+42
- Odon, IN R+68
- Campbell, MO R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.