Thurmont leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Thurmont typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thurmont, ~29% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Thurmont compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Thurmont leans more Republican than 40 of 108 neighbors.
Thurmont runs about 58 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Thurmont is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Thurmont. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+43) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Thurmont leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thurmont, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Thurmont votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Thurmont runs about 58 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Thurmont runs against that pattern.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Thurmont, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Thurmont looks the way it does
Turnout in Thurmont sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Graceham, MD R+33
- Middleburg, MD R+44
- Rocky Ridge, MD R+49
- Motters, MD R+55
- Utica, MD R+46
- Sabillasville, MD R+42
- Pleasant Valley, MD R+41
- Middlepoint, MD R+23
- Emmitsburg, MD R+16
- Woodsboro, MD R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Valley, NM D+14
- Queensbury, NY Even
- Bridgeton, MO D+16
- Fairview, OR D+22
- Mcdonald, PA R+22
- Aberdeen, NC R+16
- Geneva, OH R+30
- Oakland, TN R+33
- Newcastle, OK R+56
- Park Hills, MO R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.