Kinnear leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Kinnear typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kinnear, ~21% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kinnear compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kinnear leans more Republican than 5 of 8 neighbors.
Kinnear runs about 24 points more Democratic than Wyoming as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kinnear. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+53), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Kinnear leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kinnear, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Kinnear live in densely developed areas, about 10 points below the Wyoming average of 12%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Kinnear, WY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kinnear looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kinnear is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 14 points below the Wyoming average of 63%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pavillion, WY R+80
- Ethete, WY D+13
- Fort Washakie, WY D+45
- Wind River, WY D+38
- St. Stephens, WY R+47
- Arapahoe, WY D+20
- Crowheart, WY R+8
- Riverton, WY R+46
- Lander, WY R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Welcome, AR R+67
- Robinhood, MS R+79
- Beverly, KS R+72
- Spuds, FL R+27
- Lenora, MN R+40
- Heards, VA D+3
- Hannon, AL D+77
- Bishop, WV R+65
- Kirkman, IA R+52
- North Brookfield, NY R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.