Arapahoe leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Arapahoe typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arapahoe, ~35% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arapahoe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arapahoe leans more Democratic than 12 of 14 neighbors.
Arapahoe runs about 66 points more Democratic than Wyoming as a whole. Wyoming leans Republican overall, while Arapahoe is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Arapahoe. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+15), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Arapahoe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arapahoe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arapahoe votes against the grain of Wyoming. Wyoming leans Republican overall, while Arapahoe runs about 66 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 33% of adults in Arapahoe have never been married, above 82% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arapahoe, WY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Arapahoe looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arapahoe is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Riverton, WY R+46
- St. Stephens, WY R+47
- Hudson, WY R+61
- Ethete, WY D+13
- Sand Draw, WY R+24
- Lander, WY R+24
- Pavillion, WY R+80
- Morton, WY R+55
- Milford, WY R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sheldon, VT R+41
- Cedar Heights, NJ Even
- Sloan, IA R+52
- Pueblo Of Acoma, NM D+63
- Devereaux, MI R+36
- Spurger, TX R+84
- South Pekin, IL R+46
- Zanesfield, OH R+63
- Paradis, LA R+65
- Mineville, NY R+24
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wyoming Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.