La Colonia leans heavily Democratic by roughly 38 points: about 69% of voters vote Democratic and 31% Republican.
About 27% of adults in La Colonia typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Colonia, ~18% vote Democratic, ~8% Republican, and ~74% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Colonia compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, La Colonia leans more Democratic than 17 of 20 neighbors.
La Colonia runs about 18 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why La Colonia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Colonia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in La Colonia live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 49% of adults in La Colonia have never been married, above 80% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; La Colonia, Oxnard, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in La Colonia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. La Colonia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 22 points below the California average of 62%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 85% of households in La Colonia rent, compared to around 46% in nearby neighborhoods. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in La Colonia report food insecurity, above 95% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- West Village, Oxnard, CA D+29
- Wilson, Oxnard, CA D+39
- Carriage Square, Oxnard, CA D+35
- Rio Lindo, Oxnard, CA D+31
- East Village Oxnard, Oxnard, CA D+24
- Orchard, Oxnard, CA D+31
- Kamala Park, Oxnard, CA D+37
- Cal-Gisler, Oxnard, CA D+41
- Sierra Linda, Oxnard, CA D+31
- Bartolo Square North, Oxnard, CA D+39
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Shoreview, San Mateo, CA D+44
- Abilene Heights Area, Abilene, TX R+24
- Wesconnett, Jacksonville, FL D+10
- Apollo Arapaho and Camelot, Garland, TX D+16
- Strawberry Hill, Cambridge, MA D+78
- Jacksonville Heights West, Jacksonville, FL D+27
- South Hagginwood, Sacramento, CA D+27
- Seven Bar Ranch, Albuquerque, NM D+21
- La Cresta-Alta Vista, Bakersfield, CA R+14
- Dexter Falls, Columbus, OH D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.