Orchard leans heavily Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Orchard typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchard, ~31% vote Democratic, ~17% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchard compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Orchard leans more Democratic than 6 of 20 neighbors.
Orchard runs about 10 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Orchard leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Orchard. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Orchard, Oxnard, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Orchard looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Orchard is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in Orchard have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Sierra Linda, Oxnard, CA D+31
- Carriage Square, Oxnard, CA D+35
- South Bank, Oxnard, CA D+30
- Rio Lindo, Oxnard, CA D+31
- West Village, Oxnard, CA D+29
- Wilson, Oxnard, CA D+39
- El Rio, Oxnard, CA D+34
- La Colonia, Oxnard, CA D+39
- Town Center, Oxnard, CA D+33
- East Village Oxnard, Oxnard, CA D+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Livingston-McNaughten, Columbus, OH D+58
- Menomonee River Hills East, Milwaukee, WI D+63
- Woodlawn Court, Hattiesburg, MS D+54
- Mission Bend South, Mission Bend, TX D+21
- Downtown Madison Heights, Madison Heights, MI D+8
- Palm Springs, Apache Junction, AZ R+23
- Suburban Acres, Norfolk, VA D+36
- Borchert Field, Milwaukee, WI D+88
- Downtown Belle Glade, Belle Glade, FL D+73
- Central Northside, Pittsburgh, PA D+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.