Bartolo Square North leans heavily Democratic by roughly 40 points: about 70% of voters vote Democratic and 30% Republican.
About 39% of adults in Bartolo Square North typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Bartolo Square North, ~28% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Bartolo Square North compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Bartolo Square North leans more Democratic than 19 of 20 neighbors.
Bartolo Square North runs about 19 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Bartolo Square North leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Bartolo Square North, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Bartolo Square North live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Bartolo Square North, Oxnard, CA does.
Why turnout in Bartolo Square North looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Bartolo Square North is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 23%, about 13 points above the California average of 10%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Bartolo Square North report food insecurity, above 84% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 63% of adults in Bartolo Square North have completed high school, below 98% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Evergreen, Everett, WA D+7
- McKnight, Springfield, MA D+55
- Hudson Avenue Historic District, Newark, OH R+24
- The Ws, The Colony, TX R+9
- Atlanta-Inman Park, Atlanta, GA D+56
- Bennington, Vancouver, WA D+19
- Golden Gate, Emeryville, CA D+81
- Shore Acres, Staten Island, NY R+16
- Forest Trails, Jacksonville, FL D+49
- Captain John Mullan, Missoula, MT D+12
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.