Lake Winnebago leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Lake Winnebago typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Winnebago, ~27% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Winnebago compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Winnebago leans more Republican than 36 of 69 neighbors.
Lake Winnebago runs about 23 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Lake Winnebago leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Winnebago, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in Lake Winnebago are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake Winnebago, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake Winnebago looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lake Winnebago is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Lake Winnebago own their home, compared to around 74% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Lake Winnebago have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greenwood, MO R+29
- Pleasant Hill, MO R+42
- Raymore, MO R+17
- Lees Summit, MO Even
- Lake Lotawana, MO R+31
- Peculiar, MO R+40
- Unity Village, MO R+3
- Belton, MO R+22
- Grandview, MO D+37
- Tarsney Lakes, MO R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Racetrack, MT R+49
- Dewy Rose, GA R+45
- Bylas, AZ D+54
- Minerva Park, OH D+30
- Rutherford, TN R+62
- Olla, LA R+91
- Tahuya, WA R+10
- Akron, IA R+57
- Pilot, VA R+54
- Applegate, MI R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.