Lakes leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in Lakes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakes, ~28% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lakes leans more Republican than 6 of 15 neighbors.
Lakes runs about 18 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lakes. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+36) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lakes leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lakes. None of them point strongly toward either party.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lakes, AK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lakes looks the way it does
Turnout in Lakes sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wasilla, AK R+25
- Gateway, AK R+30
- Tanaina, AK R+32
- Palmer, AK R+28
- Buffalo Soapstone, AK R+32
- Meadow Lakes, AK R+41
- Knik-Fairview, AK R+40
- Lazy Mountain, AK R+35
- Eska, AK R+40
- Chugiak, AK R+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- Park City, UT D+37
- Saluda, SC R+22
- Parkville, PA R+26
- Brighton, TN R+65
- Palmetto, GA D+20
- Park Rapids, MN R+27
- Cedarhurst, NY R+61
- Lamar, CO R+30
- Irvington, NY D+40
- McKenzie, TN R+52
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.